| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | plutao.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | J8LNKAN8RW/3AFLC8N |
| Repository | dpi.inpe.br/plutao/2011/09.22.18.50.44 (restricted access) |
| Last Update | 2012:06.28.18.05.50 (UTC) secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br |
| Metadata Repository | dpi.inpe.br/plutao/2011/09.22.18.50.45 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2021:03.06.19.29.24 (UTC) administrator |
| DOI | 10.1007/s00382-011-1155-5 |
| ISSN | 0930-7575 |
| Label | lattes: 5719239270509869 1 OrsiniCKAPSSLSRCGBT:2011:ClAnRe |
| Citation Key | MarengoCKAPSSLSBCGBT:2012:ClReAn |
| Title | Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, São Francisco and the Parana River basins  |
| Project | FAPESP 2008/58161-1 |
| Year | 2012 |
| Access Date | 2024, May 03 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 1774 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Marengo, Jose Antonio 2 Chou, SC 3 Kay, Gillian 4 Alves, Lincoln M. 5 Pesquero, Jose 6 Soares, Wagner 7 Santos, Daniel C. 8 Lyra, Andre 9 Sueiro, Gustavo 10 Betts, Richard 11 Chagas, Diego 12 Gomes, J 13 Bustamente, Josiane 14 Tavares, Priscila |
| Resume Identifier | 1 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHG3 |
| Group | 1 CST-CST-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 3 4 CST-CST-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 5 CST-CST-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 6 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 7 CST-CST-SPG-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 UK Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England. 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 8 9 10 UK Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England. |
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 marengo@cptec.inpe.br |
| e-Mail Address | marengo@cptec.inpe.br |
| Journal | Climate Dynamics |
| Volume | 38 |
| Number | 9-10 |
| Pages | 1829-1848 |
| Secondary Mark | A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_ECOLOGIA_E_MEIO_AMBIENTE A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS |
| History (UTC) | 2011-09-22 18:50:45 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2011-09-23 08:14:31 :: administrator -> lattes :: 2011 2011-09-23 14:11:19 :: lattes -> banon :: 2011 2011-11-23 14:03:04 :: banon -> secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br :: 2011 2012-06-28 18:05:50 :: secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br :: 2011 -> 2012 2012-06-28 18:06:07 :: secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2012 2012-10-08 10:49:30 :: administrator -> secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br :: 2012 2012-12-12 15:51:56 :: secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2012 2012-12-14 22:46:39 :: administrator -> secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br :: 2012 2013-01-28 11:47:15 :: secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2012 2021-03-06 19:29:24 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2012 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Version Type | publisher |
| Keywords | South America climate change downscaling Amazon region |
| Abstract | The objective of this study is to assess the climate projections over South America using the Eta-CPTEC regional model driven by four members of an ensemble of the Met Office Hadley Centre Global Coupled climate model HadCM3. The global model ensemble was run over the twenty-first century according to the SRES A1B emissions scenario, but with each member having a different climate sensitivity. The four members selected to drive the Eta-CPTEC model span the sensitivity range in the global model ensemble. The Eta-CPTEC model nested in these lateral boundary conditions was configured with a 40-km grid size and was run over 1961-1990 to represent baseline climate, and 2011-2100 to simulate possible future changes. Results presented here focus on austral summer and winter climate of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods, for South America and for three major river basins in Brazil. Projections of changes in upper and low-level circulation and the mean sea level pressure (SLP) fields simulate a pattern of weakening of the tropical circulation and strengthening of the subtropical circulation, marked by intensification at the surface of the Chaco Low and the subtropical highs. Strong warming (4-6°C) of continental South America increases the temperature gradient between continental South America and the South Atlantic. This leads to stronger SLP gradients between continent and oceans, and to changes in moisture transport and rainfall. Large rainfall reductions are simulated in Amazonia and Northeast Brazil (reaching up to 40%), and rainfall increases around the northern coast of Peru and Ecuador and in southeastern South America, reaching up to 30% in northern Argentina. All changes are more intense after 2040. The Precipitation-Evaporation (P-E) difference in the A1B downscaled scenario suggest water deficits and river runoff reductions in the eastern Amazon and São Francisco Basin, making these regions susceptible to drier conditions and droughts in the future. |
| Area | CST |
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > Development of regional... |
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Development of regional... |
| Arrangement 3 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção pgr ATUAIS > CST > Development of regional... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| Language | en |
| Target File | Orsini-Climate Dyn-fulltext[1].pdf |
| User Group | administrator banon lattes secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br |
| Reader Group | administrator secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br |
| Visibility | shown |
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 |
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
| Update Permission | not transferred |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/449U4PL |
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.06.18.03 1 |
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; AGU; MGA; COMPENDEX. |
| Host Collection | dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel format isbn lineage mark mirrorrepository month nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| update | |